AI artifact JSON failed validation (Model output was truncated (model=google/gemini-3-flash-preview, finish_reason=length). First 220 chars: { "tape":...). Showing a structured fallback map from SERP evidence; try Deep mode for richer extraction. Cross-market or peer read-through appears in WHAT IS THE, ECB. 12 evidence items across 10 domains back the current CPI price move read.
Market Focus Shifts to Warsh's Jackson Hole Debut as Rate Cut Odds Recede
Market attention has pivoted from general dollar technicals to the upcoming Jackson Hole speech by Kevin Warsh, which is raising bond market anxiety. New data suggests a significant hawkish shift in expectations, with the probability of a Fed rate cut before 2027 reportedly falling below 13%. Investors are now weighing the impact of trade wars and potential 'no hike' scenarios on the broader economic outlook.
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AI artifact JSON failed validation (Model output was truncated (model=google/gemini-3-flash-preview, finish_reason=length). First 220 chars: { "tape":...). Showing a structured fallback map from SERP evidence; try Deep mode for richer extraction. 5 hours ago — U.S. inflation data for July will be firmly in focus after recent weak jobs data brought the need for an interest-rate rise by the Federal Reserve in the coming ...Read more 2 hours ago — It left the rate unchanged at meetings in January, March, May, June and July, then resumed rate cuts in September through December of 2025, with no change since ...Read more 7 hours ago — This has been combined with the subdued inflation data released last week to reduce expectations of a Federal Reserve rate increase for September.
Cross-market or peer read-through appears in WHAT IS THE, ECB. Several new evidence items or catalysts appeared since the previous run. The monitor should be treated as materially changed until the new narrative settles. Market attention has pivoted from general dollar technicals to the upcoming Jackson Hole speech by Kevin Warsh, which is raising bond market anxiety. New data suggests a significant hawkish shift in expectations, with the probability of a Fed rate cut before 2027 reportedly falling below 13%. Investors are now weighing the impact of trade wars and potential 'no hike' scenarios on the broader economic outlook.
12 evidence items across 10 source domains, including facebook.com, instagram.com, assets.dam.westpac.co.nz, with 0 official and 2 primary market sources.
Market attention has pivoted from general dollar technicals to the upcoming Jackson Hole speech by Kevin Warsh, which is raising bond market anxiety. New data suggests a significant hawkish shift in expectations, with the probability of a Fed rate cut before 2027 reportedly falling below 13%. Investors are now weighing the impact of trade wars and potential 'no hike' scenarios on the broader economic outlook.
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AI artifact JSON failed validation (Model output was truncated (model=google/gemini-3-flash-preview, finish_reason=length). First 220 chars: { "tape":...). Showing a structured fallback map from SERP evidence; try Deep mode for richer extraction.
5 hours ago — U.S. inflation data for July will be firmly in focus after recent weak jobs data brought the need for an interest-rate rise by the Federal Reserve in the coming ...Read more
7 hours ago — This has been combined with the subdued inflation data released last week to reduce expectations of a Federal Reserve rate increase for September.
Stronger inflation or growth could support the USD and Treasury yields, while softer data may shift expectations in the opposite direction. The key question: ...Read more
3 hours ago — July CPI cooled significantly, with core inflation down to 2.5%, futures markets oscillate between 35% and 65% odds of a September hike. CPI weakened, and ...
2 hours ago — It left the rate unchanged at meetings in January, March, May, June and July, then resumed rate cuts in September through December of 2025, with no change since ...Read more
11 hours ago — Market expectations for policy rate hikes have faded from their peak too: by between 15 basis points (in the case of the ECB and BoJ) to 60bps (U.K.) for 2026, ...Read more
Long Island at East Coast will become a new waterfront with residential buildings, Prime Minister Lawrence Wong said on Sunday (Aug 23) in his National Day ...
3 hours ago — In total two hikes are priced by year-end, matching our forecasts, with a market-implied terminal rate of 3.5% (Westpac at 4.0%). The yield curve's flattening ...Read more
3 hours ago — This page displays a table with actual values, consensus figures, forecasts, statistics and historical data charts for - Economic Calendar.
00:00 Introduction & Program Welcome ; 01:22 Deciding to Contest: Parting Ways After 60 Years ; 02:40 Internal Party Reviews and Candidate Selection ; 04:52 ...
Looking further ahead, the Fed projects an additional 100bps in cuts in 2025, potentially lowering the median rate to 3.4%. Here's a look at the Dot Plot, where ...Read more
CPI data revealing a 0.42% monthly decrease and a core CPI. The current Fed Funds Rate stands at 3.63%, while the unemployment rate remains relatively low at 4 ...